Two things run here and this page covers both: the free FantasyCup, where the matches you read win you Rewards, and Today's Signals, the OriginStatsAI board that publishes the model's read on the day's fixtures.
You analyse football matches. It's free. If you read them well, you win Rewards, and you spend them in the OriginStats shop on real things.
Open FantasyCup and choose the matches you've read well. As many or as few as you like.
One entry a day. It's free — no fee, no deposit.
You're automatically entered into every competition your picks qualify you for. We'll tell you the moment you join one.
A qualifying month is 8 days with an entry and 12 settled analyses, in that month.
The OriginStatsAI accounts are shown for reference. Neither one competes for prizes.
| Competition | Pick-days | Settled analyses | Qualifying months | In the second half | Which analyses count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week | 4 | 6 | — | — | any league |
| Month | 8 | 12 | — | — | any league |
| Quarterly | — | — | 2 | — | any league |
| Season | — | — | 5 | at least 2 | any league |
| League tier · Monthly | 8 | 24 | — | — | that league tier only |
| League tier · Season | — | — | 5 | at least 2 | any league, plus 96 settled on that league tier |
| European cups · Season | — | — | 5 | at least 2 | any league, plus 96 settled in European cups |
Analyses have to land inside the month.
If a match is moved and no longer plays inside its week, your analysis on it is voided. A voided analysis still counts toward the pick-days and settled analyses above. It does not count toward your win rate or your Avg Profit % — a voided stake was never at risk.
A league tier is a group of leagues, and its competition ranks you only on the analyses you submit inside that group — Europe's big five is one board, not five separate ones.
You're in the four Overall competitions from your first pick. A league tier joins you the first time one of your entries in it settles — you don't opt in, and we tell you when it happens.
Twelve competitions run at once, so one good week counts toward every one you are in.
| Competition | 1st | 2nd | 3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Every week | 50,000Rewards | — | — |
| Every month | 100,000Rewards | 50,000Rewards | 25,000Rewards |
| Every quarter3 months | 500,000Rewards | 200,000Rewards | 100,000Rewards |
| Every season | 6,000,000Rewards | 4,000,000Rewards | 2,000,000Rewards |
| Every month, per league tierEurope's big five, next tier and second divisions | 100,000Rewards | 50,000Rewards | 25,000Rewards |
| Every season, per league tier | 2,500,000Rewards | 1,500,000Rewards | 1,000,000Rewards |
| The yearly playoff | 15,000,000Rewards | 10,000,000Rewards | 5,000,000Rewards |
Experts win double these amounts in the Experts-only competition, which runs on the weekly, monthly, quarterly and league-tier monthly boards.
A placement goes to whoever ranks into it. If that competitor can't be paid, the placement pays nothing — it doesn't pass down to the next competitor, so a division can pay out fewer prizes in a period than it has placements.
Rewards land in your balance automatically when a competition closes. There is nothing to claim.
One entry a day, holding that day's analyses. No fee, no deposit.
A pick is fixed once it's in: the other side of the same match is refused. You can add more picks to the day, and you can cancel the ones whose matches haven't started.
Each pick stays cancellable until 10 minutes before its own match. A cancel takes every pick still that far out and leaves the rest in your entry. Then pick again for the day.
Experts only: once someone has unlocked that day's analysis, none of it can be cancelled.
Once a day, tap check-in. Members collect 30 Origin Coins every time.
Everyone gets free unlocks for experts in the free campaign: 1 a day, 2 for members, no check-in needed. Check in 7 days in a row for an extra one.
How many of your settled analyses turned out right, as a percentage. Get 3 of 6 right and that's 50%.
If two players have the same accuracy, the higher average profit ranks higher. Every analysis carries a fixed 50,000OS$ practice stake with no daily cap, and Avg Profit % is your total profit or loss divided by everything you had at risk. Four analyses put 200,000OS$ at risk; three wins at 1.90 and one loss is +85,000OS$ on 200,000OS$, or +42.5%.
If that ties too, whoever settled more analyses ranks higher.
If everything above still ties, the Expert ranks first.
Some analyses are set aside. If the result lands exactly on the line, it doesn't help or hurt your accuracy — but it still counts toward your six. If the match is called off, it counts for nothing at all: not your accuracy, and not your six.
You appear on the board as soon as your first analysis settles. But until you qualify, you're listed below everyone who has — however good your record looks.
Someone who got 2 out of 2 right, but hasn't qualified, is listed below someone who qualified with 18 out of 30.
Your progress toward the bar is always shown.
Achievements are badges you keep. They carry no Rewards value — they are a record of how you have read matches. The same rules apply whether or not you are an Expert.
Every badge and exactly how it is earned is listed on the achievements page, beside the artwork.
We will tell you when you earn one, in the app and by email. You can turn that off under Achievements in your notification settings.
See every badgeFinish top 10 of a month, a quarter or a season and you're promoted. You don't need to win a prize — 4th to 10th are promoted too. Weekly promotes nobody, and it's the top 10 rows of the board that count, not the top 10 among the players who qualified.
If one of the top 10 can't be promoted, that spot stays empty rather than passing to 11th — a competition can promote fewer than ten.
Experts sell their analysis — priced by the day or by the match — for Origin Coins and earn Rewards on every sale.
Experts also compete in an Experts-only competition, where every prize is double — but one prize per period, so if you place in both you're paid the Expert one. You still show up on both boards at the place you actually finished, medal and all. The place you weren't paid for doesn't pass to anyone else, so a competition can award fewer prizes in a period than it has placements.
They don't convert into each other.
| Origin Coins | Rewards | |
|---|---|---|
| For | Unlocking an Expert's analysis | Spending in the shop |
| Get it by | Buying, or checking in daily | Winning, or selling your analysis |
Experts price their analysis one of two ways: a whole day — 100 to 10,000 Origin Coins, across seven levels — or each match separately — 100 to 1,000 Origin Coins, across four levels, the same price for every match that day. Our own OriginStatsAI analysis is 500 Origin Coins, or 1,000 for VIP. Members pay 15% less on every unlock.
Unlocks close 10 minutes before the earliest match they cover. If every match in a set you unlocked is called off, your Origin Coins come back — and for a single-match unlock, that one match being called off is enough.
Rewards are shop credit — they can't be withdrawn or transferred.
30 Origin Coins at every daily check-in, both OriginStats AI accounts included at no extra cost, two free campaign unlocks a day, and 15% off every other unlock.
You don't need it to compete or to win. Playing is free.
We publish our own model's analysis so you can see how you measure up. It doesn't affect prizes.
Want the model's own read on today's matches?How Today's Signals works
Today's Signals is OriginStatsAI's own board. Each morning it publishes the model's read on that day's fixtures — its probabilities, the market context around them, and the settled record behind them — in one scanning view.
One board, rebuilt every day, holding the day's fixtures with the model's probabilities beside them. It is a research surface and nothing more: it organises information so you can decide about a match yourself.
It is separate from the FantasyCup. The board is the model's own analysis — nothing on it is an entry of yours, and reading it changes nothing about your own record.
See today's signalsThe board turns over at 4:01 AM UTC and then holds that day's fixtures. That is the same instant the game day rolls over everywhere else in OriginStats, so the board, your entry for the day and your check-in all change over together.
Scores and market movement keep updating while matches are on, and settled outcomes fill in as they finish.
Historical match outcomes, league strength, market medians, Goal Spread lines, market movement, and how earlier signals settled. It weighs its own probability against the prices available, then drops the matches where the confidence, the pricing or the market agreement is not strong enough.
The design goal is selectivity — fewer, stronger signals rather than a full page of weak ones. A thin day is that filter working, not a fault.
Home, draw or away over the full 90 minutes.
One side starts with a virtual goal advantage or disadvantage, and the match is graded against that line rather than the plain result. Some lines settle in part rather than outright.
Goal Spread is the market the model is built around: it takes most of the draw noise out, handles uneven matchups better, and gives a cleaner test of whether a line matches the data.
Every signal carries a tier chip. Basic and Pro are the standing sets, Advanced is the more selective one, Ultimate is the narrowest of all, and World Cup appears only while that tournament is running.
Advanced was called Expert until 20 August 2026. It was renamed so it no longer reads as the human Expert role, which is a different thing entirely and is covered on the other tab.
A tier can be switched off, and then it is off for everybody. It leaves the board, the legend, the filter and the settled-rate figures at the same moment, subscribers and staff included. A tier is never held back as an upsell.
| Access | What you see |
|---|---|
| Signed out | The board's layout, the recent settled rates, and a sample of what a signal looks like. |
| Free account | Your free daily signal. Beyond that, OriginStatsAI's analysis unlocks with Origin Coins — 500 for Basic, 1,000 for VIP. You also get a free unlock every day, no check-in needed, to spend on any expert in the free campaign; check in 7 days in a row for an extra one. |
| Full Access | The whole set — Basic, Pro and Advanced, Match Winner and Goal Spread — plus 30 days of history, both OriginStats AI accounts included at no extra cost, two free campaign unlocks a day, and 15% off every other unlock. |
Under the board sits the settled outcome panel. A rate is the share of settled signals the model read correctly, and the figure in brackets is how many settled. The rolling strip shows how often the model finished a day at or above 50%, with each day's own rate below it.
Read a rate together with the average listed price behind it. Across the displayed analysis set that average is 1.85, where the neutral reference rate is about 54.1% before pushes, partial settlements, fees and price changes.
These are historical figures. They describe signals that have already settled and do not describe or indicate future ones.
OriginStats is an information tool. It does not process payments tied to match results, does not give personal financial advice, and does not assure outcomes. It is for adults aged 18 and over, where lawful.
Playing the free competition as well?Read the FantasyCup rules